It is a recurrent phenomenon that liquidity gets more valuable at the end of the year: this is seen in the fact that, notwithstanding the higher amount outstanding, the overnight money market rate (EONIA) increases in the last weeks of the year. While the phenomenon was suppressed during the crisis by the overabundant liquidity provision, before the crisis, the average increase between the beginning of December and the end of the year, was of the order of 36 basis points, concentrated in the last few days of the month (see table 1).
A blog by Francesco Papadia, providing a personal perspective on monetary policy developments drawing from an experience of 40 years in critical positions in central banking.
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Friday, 20 December 2013
Monday, 16 December 2013
Should German workers be paid more? Or, Do we have an omitted variable bias?
A recurrent problem in
regression analysis is the omitted variable bias: if you estimate a regression
and you do not include on the right side a variable that belongs to the model
and is correlated with some included variables, the OLS estimates will be biased.
The gist of this post is whether we have something of an analogous problem in
addressing the current macroeconomic problems in the €-area, namely by not
considering the possible influence of income distribution.